Division 5 Presidents Message:
Many Signs of New Life in Quantitative Methods
Leona S. Aiken
Arizona State University
(This article is adapted from an article entitled, "The
Presidents Message: Many Signs of New Life in Quantitative Methods" printed in
the Score, Division 5 Newsletter, Volume XXI, No. IV, October, 1998, with permission of
Division 5).
Five Signs of New Life
There are currently very positive signs that suggest a resurgence of
interest on the part of our nonquantitative colleagues in what quantitative psychology,
including evaluation, measurement, statistics, and assessment, has to offer the broader
field of psychology. There are additional signs that suggest that we may be at the outset
of a period of growth in the ranks of quantitative psychology. Five concurrent trends lead
me to this conclusion.
(1) Hearty Job Market
In the past few years the academic job market for quantitative
psychologists has blossomed. Quantitative positions abound in a range of academic
institutions from 4 year colleges through elite Ph.D. programs. This lively job market
indicates broad support for quantitative training, and not just among the ranks of
quantitative psychologists. I believe that two forces operate to occasion this trend: (a)
a spate of retirements has left departments without teachers of the fundamental
quantitative curriculum and without quantitative consultation; and (b) our new
methodologies have become increasingly complex, leading our colleagues to realize the need
for training, if not for themselves, then for their students.
(2) New Quantitative Ph.D. Programs
The current development of new Ph.D. programs in measurement, methods,
and statistics reverses a previous trend of closing some classic quantitative programs
housed in both psychology and educational psychology departments. Quantitative program
development is in progress at a number of institutions. In my own department, we received
broad support from our colleagues to develop our new program. I take new program
development as a second sign that our nonquantitative colleagues value what we do and are
willing to commit resources to training in quantitative methods.
(3) The Remarkable Success of Psychological Methods
Psychological Methods is the new APA journal devoted to the
"development and dissemination of methods for collecting, analyzing, understanding,
and interpreting psychological data" (inside cover, Psychological Methods, 1(1),
March, 1996). It is enjoying remarkable success, success that Susan Knapp, Director of APA
Publications, characterized as "tremendous for the third year" of the journal
(Personal Communication, September 4, 1998). As of August, 1998, there were 3,930 total
subscriptions, with 3,427 APA member and associate subscriptions (up 11% from 1997) and
445 institutional subscriptions. In fact, Psychological Methods ranks 9th in APA member
and associate subscriptions among the 26 APA journals. At the end of 1997, Psychological
Methods stood slightly ahead of Psychological Bulletin, and substantially ahead of
Psychological Review, the two other generalist journals in the APA portfolio, in APA
member and associate subscriptions. The only journals with greater member and associate
subscriptions include the American Psychologist, plus the major clinical, counseling,
health, and professional practice journals. The ranks of Division 5 members and officers,
including myself, who worked to gain APA approval for the journal are truly gratified.
(4) Lively New Student Memberships in Division 5
In the past 5 years Division 5 has experienced a steady stream of
100-150 new student memberships into the Division each year. This suggests to me that a
base of both quantitative methodologists and other students with strong quantitative
interests are in training in graduate schools across the country.
(5) Demand for Methodological Expertise in the Research Enterprise
There is increasing demand for methodologists to serve on study
sections for many of the major funding agencies. Moreover, demand is increasing for
appropriate methodologists as members of grant proposal teams. This increased demand again
reflects the acknowledgement by our colleagues of the importance of our methodologies for
the substantive research enterprise in psychology.
Division 5 Involvement in Training: The Survey of Quantitative and
Measurement Curricula of Ph.D. Programs
Division 5 is now actively involved in broad curricular issues
concerning the training of Ph.D.s in psychology and related fields in quantitative
methods.
Quantitative Curriculum
Last spring, Steve West (former Division 5 member-at-large and program
chair), Roger Millsap (Division 5 membership chair) and I undertook a survey of the
content of the quantitative curriculum of all the Ph.D. programs in psychology in the
United States and Canada, a replication and extension of the earlier study reported in the
1990 American Psychologist (Aiken, West, Sechrest, & Reno, 1990). As of now, we have
achieved over an 80% response rate from the 234 institutions in the study. The previous
article was used by a number of institutions as a planning document, as well as to argue
for increased curriculum and staffing in quantitative methods. We intend that the
replication will serve this same purpose.
Focus on Measurement Curriculum
Past President Cecil Reynolds implemented a Task Force on Measurement
Training as the core of his presidential initiative (see the Score, October, 1997); this
task force is chaired by former Past President Ronald Hambleton. Ron Hambleton will
implement a survey of the measurement training in Ph.D. programs later this year to form
the basis of task force activities; this detailed survey of measurement training expands
the broader survey of quantitative curriculum.
Division 5 Involvement in Committees on Test Standards
and Test User Qualifications
The revision of the Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing
and the creation of Guidelines for Test User Qualifications are ongoing activities at APA;
the impact of these activities on the professional activities of Division 5 members cannot
be over estimated. Fortunately, Division 5 members are centrally involved in both
activities. Division 5 Member-at-Large Paul Sackett co-chairs the
revision of the Standards. Former Score Editor Marcia Andberg serves on
the committee on Test User Qualifications. Division 5 members have been active in review
of draft documents from both committees; former Division 5 President Mark Davison
organized the Division 5 response to the Standards revision.
Division 5 Membership: Great Diversity of Interests
and Connections with Division 14
Division 5 membership reflects a mixture of individuals with a broad
range of methodological interests from the mathematical development of new statistical and
measurement methods, to test development, to the use of tests in assessment in applied
settings. Our membership also has broad substantive interests spanning
industrial-organizational, personality, health, clinical, and educational psychology at
least. Like Division 14, our membership is heterogeneous in its professional employment,
well balanced between industry and academic settings. Our leadership in Division 5
overlaps with that of Division 14; individuals simultaneously hold positions on the
executive committees of both divisions. At present, both Wayne Camara and
Mary Tenopyr serve on the two executive committees. The overlap in
leadership reflects the substantial overlap in the membership of our two divisions.
Divisions 5 and 14 at the Joint APA Convention Cocktail Party
Division 5 members have been very pleased that our cocktail party at
the annual APA convention has been a joint effort with Division 14. This year is no
exception. We have enjoyed the collegiality of Division 14 members. We hope that this
symbolizes our proximity as divisions, and presages further collaboration between the
divisions.
Do not hesitate to contact me at the Department of Psychology, Arizona
State University, Box 871104, Tempe, Arizona 85287-1104; email Leona.Aiken@asu.edu.
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