On the Horizon
Peter Bachiochi
Eastern Connecticut State University
In this issue, Thomas Becker will be sharing the results of an informal study he
conducted of the topics that have been covered recently in the top I-O journals.
The results provide a good indication of whats hot and whats not in our
research domain.
A Mostly Informal Analysis of Our Marketplace of Ideas
Thomas Becker
University of Delaware
The purposes of my guest appearance in Peters column are to inform readers
of how
intensely I-O topics have been studied recently and (for those looking for
research ideas) to suggest how they might use this information. First, though,
let me give you a little background. During grad school at Ohio State, I felt
that I had a good handle on the topics of I-O. Our faculty (predominantly, Rich
Klimoski, Bob Billings, and Bob Vance) made sure of that by requiring
us to read an ungodly amount of material from the top journals. After I
graduated, I focused on my key interests (mostly employee commitment) and other
research projects and, for the most part, confined my reading to whatever I was
working on. The result was that I knew a lot about a few things but felt out of
touch with the field overall.
Now Im on sabbatical. In anticipating this enviable condition, this past
summer I decided to get back in touch with the topics of I-O. As a major part of
this effort, I read the abstracts of all articles appearing in the six major
journals (AMJ, AMR, OBHDP, ASQ, JAP, and Personnel Psychology) for
the period 1/1/01 through 6/1/02. For my purposes, this was I-Os current
marketplace of ideas. As I read the abstracts, I created categories for
classifying the articles. In pigeonholing my readings, I limited myself to four
categories per article. As the categories grew in number and size, I developed
subcategories for many of the larger classes. Within any given category, I did
not include an article in more than one subcategory. In contrast to categories,
the subcategories represent smaller research streams within and, in some cases,
across categories. For example, personality was studied so widely that it earned
multiple subcategories under the category of individual differences and
additional subcategories under the performance and motivation categories.
The result of all this was 50 categories, 14 with subcategories. In
preparation for this column, I counted the number of articles in each category
and subcategory. The results are reported in Table 1.
A few caveats about the process and results:
- This classification scheme is entirely mine, based on my attempt to make
sense of the myriad topics about which I was reading. You may have created a
different typology.
- I chose the above decision rules (e.g., number of categories in which an
article can be put) based in part on time concerns. I wanted to finish the
project over the summer and have time to work on other things. Different
decision rules would likely produce different results, as would classifying
the articles based on reading whole articles or on an electronic search.
- In several cases, I identified a category rather late in the process and
may have failed to classify some articles accordingly. I dont believe
this happened often, but in the table Ive put an asterisk next to such
categories.
- Some topics (e.g. individual differences) were widely distributed across
journals, while others (e.g., decision making) were more narrowly published
(e.g., in OBHDP). So, frequency of publication (e.g., in one journal) may
not correspond to likelihood of publication (e.g., based on a greater number
of potential outlets).
So, whats hot in the field? Well, this depends on what we mean by
hot. If a hot topic is one that reflects lots of recent publications, then
Table 1 rank orders topics from hottest to coldest. (Note that due to ties, the
50 categories comprise 31 places.) The table suggests that individual
differences, performance, decision making, teams, and motivation are scorching
(as they probably have been for years). The subcategories provide a bit more
information: affect and core self-evaluations are especially hot individual
differences; the personalityperformance link is burning; team process and
performance are off the dial; and the roles of attributions, empowerment, goals,
and personality in motivation are still warm. I was interested to note some
convergence of the findings in Table 1 with the results of Peters informal
survey reported in the April 2002 TIP. Among the hot topics he identified
were statistical tools (included in my table as a subcategory of 11th-placed
research issues and methods), employee well-being (10th in the table), new
recruitment and selection methods (6th in the table), and affect (under 1st
place individual differences).
On the ice-cold side, at the very bottom of Table 1 is research on contingent
workers, downsizing, drugs, job analysis, socialization, and theft, with one
associated pub each. And there are two handfuls of topics with only 2-4 pubs
each.
Table 1.
Frequencies of Publication in the Top Six Journals for 50 I-O Topics During the
Period of 1/1/01 to 6/1/02
____________________________________________________________________
Topic/Subtopic
Frequency
____________________________________________________________________
1. Individual Differences
A. Big Five
B. Cognitive ability
C. Core self-evaluations
D. Positive and negative affectivity and affect
E. Self-monitoring
F. Miscellaneous
|
81
7
4
|
2. Performance (individual)
A. Overall performance
B. Contextual performance/OCBs
C. Commitment and other attitudes
D. Fairness
E. Measurement issues
F. Personality
G. Miscellaneous
|
68
11
9
7
8
9
17
7
|
| 3. Decision Making
|
65
|
4. Group/Team Phenomena
A. Team processes
B. Team performance
C. Top management teams
D. Miscellaneous
|
52
26
17
2
7
|
5. Motivation
A. Attributions
B. Empowerment
C. Feedback and appraisal
D. Goals
E. Money
F. Personality
G. Miscellaneous
|
46
6
7
6
7
2
7
11
|
6. Recruitment and Selection
A. Assessment centers
B. Cognitive ability and other ability tests
C. Fit
D. Interviews
E. Race issues
F. Recruitment and job search
G. Validation and testing
issues
H. Miscellaneous |
38
4
5
2
6
6
|
7. Competitive Advantage (organizational
performance)
A. Knowledge, experience, and motivation
B. CEO and top management issues
C. OD and employee issues
D. Miscellaneous
|
37
8
6
9
14
|
7. Diversity
A. Disability
B. Race/ethnicity
C. Sex and sexual harassment
D. Miscellaneous
|
37
4
7
16
10
|
| 8. Organizational Change
|
36
|
9. Commitment/Identification
A. Employee commitment
B. Goal commitment
C. Identification
D. Escalation of commitment
E. Miscellaneous
|
35
23
1
6
4
1
|
| 10. Satisfaction and Well-Being
|
34
|
11. Research Issues and Methods
A. Academicpractitioner interface
B. Measurement issues
C. Statistical techniques
D. The role of time in research
E. Theory development
|
33
6
6
10
9
2
|
12. Leadership
A. Leader attributes
B. Leader effects
C. Leader-member exchange
D. Effects on leaders
E. Miscellaneous
|
32
7
8
2
2
13
|
13. Cross-Cultural Issues
A. Culture as moderator
B. Multinationals and international joint
ventures
C. Non-U.S. samples
D. Miscellaneous
|
30
11
10
4
5
|
14. Conflict and Cooperation
A. Aggression
B. Collaboration
C. Interpersonal conflict
D. Negotiation
E. Role conflict
F. Miscellaneous
|
29
3
3
9
7
3
4
|
14. Fairness/Justice
A. Antecedents
B. Consequences
C. Miscellaneous
|
29
7
9
13
|
| 15. Power and Politics
|
22
|
| 16. Strategy & Organizational
Theory
|
21
|
16. Turnover
A. Antecedents
B. Consequences
C. Correlates
D. Miscellaneous
|
21
9
3
4
5
|
| 17. Technology
|
20
|
| 18. Compensation
|
17
|
| 18. Training and Development
|
17
|
| 19. Legal Issues
|
14
|
| 20. Organizational Design
(structure)
|
13
|
| 21. Culture and Climate
|
11
|
| 22. Stress
|
10
|
| 23. Entrepreneurship
|
9
|
| 23. Job Design
|
9
|
| 24. Communication
|
8
|
| 24. Creativity*
|
8
|
| 24. Networks
|
8
|
| 25. Absenteeism, and Tardiness
|
7
|
| 25. Promotion
|
7
|
| 26. Ethics/Morality
|
6
|
| 27. Work-Family Issues
|
5
|
| 28. Career Issues
|
4
|
| 28. Perceived Organizational Support
|
4
|
| 28. Environment (organizational)
|
4
|
| 29. Impression Management
|
3
|
| 29. Social Capital*
|
3
|
| 29. Trust*
|
3
|
| 29. Unionization and Collective
Bargaining
|
3
|
| 30. Accidents
|
2
|
| 30. Mergers and Acquisitions
|
2
|
| 31. Contingent Workers
|
1
|
| 31. Downsizing
|
1
|
| 31. Drugs
|
1
|
| 31. Job Analysis
|
1
|
| 31. Socialization
|
1
|
| 31. Theft
|
1
|
_________________________________________________________________
Note. Frequencies are based upon my
manual classification resulting from reading all abstracts in the Academy of
Management Journal, Academy of Management Review, Administrative Science
Quarterly, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, Journal of
Applied Psychology, and Personnel Psychology. Bolded frequencies are
the numbers of articles per category, and nonbolded frequencies are the numbers
per subcategory. Asterisks next to a category indicate that I identified that
category late in my analysis and, hence, am less certain that all relevant
articles are included in the corresponding frequency.
For readers who are not looking for research topics, thats the end of the
story. I would simply add that if youre ever feeling out of touch with the
field, you might consider doing a similar summer read-and-classify project.
However, primarily for my junior colleagues who may be trying to decide what to
study next, Id like to make a few comments. (See Campbell, Daft, & Hulin,
1982, for more on this issue.) First, if you love one or more of the hot topics
or already have something promising going, then by all means carry on. If not,
consider focusing on a more underresearched topic. Some of these topics may be
cold because they were heavily studied in the past and we know a good deal about
them. For other topics (e.g., socialization, theft, drugs), reasons for the lack
of attention are unclear; certainly its not because we know all about them or
they are unimportant. Perhaps it is difficult to access or collect data on some
of these topics. For instance, socialization research typically requires that a
large number of organizational newcomers be studied longitudinally. In our
publish-or-perish world, the length of time necessary to do this research well
can be a liability. As other examples, accurate information on theft may be hard
to come by and data on drug use may be deemed highly sensitive by management. At
any rate, if you can overcome these difficulties you may be able to make a name
for yourself by doing high-quality work in one of these areas.
Second, there are probably some up-and-coming topics whose frequencies
dont reflect their status. These include trust, social capital, networks, and
perceived organizational support. I dont recommend that you chase research
fads, so read some of this work and decide for yourself whether it is a fad or
if its a rapidly emerging topic with substance. If its the latter and you
can get in on the ground floor, then you could become Dr. Contingent
Worker (or whatever) just in time for tenure!
In keeping with Hot Topic #1, the preferred style of choosing a research
direction may depend upon ones personality. For instance, based upon a
nonvalidated and nonmutually exclusive trilogy of traits:
For the risk-averse: You might try the follow the herd approach by
doing research on one of the hot topics in the table. A variation is the
follow their lead approach where you wait until someone asks you to do
research and then you do it on the topic they want. Of course, neither of these
strategies is risk free; in fact, I believe being risk-averse can in general be
quite risky.
For the daring: You might try random selection (e.g., close your eyes
and point to any old category in Table 1) or the importation method,
where you create a new category or subcategory by bringing in theory or research
from an area way outside I-O. Id recommend the first only in cases of
desperation or experimentation. The second is probably a post-tenure strategy.
For the rational: Youve probably already figured this out, but you might
try choosing a topic based on your personal interests and values, using
the table to help you choose among these. Or, within the context of your
interests and values, you could use the table to help identify gaps of knowledge
within the areas in which youre interested.
One question I have not addressed is the following: Are we studying what we
ought to be studying? Well, thats for each of us to decide for him- or
herself. Many I-O psychologists contribute to both the supply (as journal
authors) and demand (as readers, reviewers, editors) sides of the equation, and
our intellectual market reflects our values accordingly. I will say that it
would be great to have more input from our practitioner colleagues regarding
what topics are of most significance for them and their employers. This could
then be factored into the demand component to ensure that research fads and
trends arent overwhelming our marketplace of ideas.
Have an enjoyable and productive fall! And if you have any comments on this
column you can e-mail me at beckert@be.udel.edu.
Reference
Campbell, J., Daft, R. L., &
Hulin, C. L. (1982). What to study: Generating and developing research
questions. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.
October 2002 Table
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